Iran, as a country with a rich history of battles and political developments, has learned valuable lessons from recent wars (2025-2026). These experiences help Iranian officials to adjust their future foreign policy in light of new conditions. It seems that these lessons indicate that fundamental changes and major breaks in Iran's foreign policy are unlikely in the short term.
Continuity and Adaptation in Foreign Policy
Analysts believe that Iran's future foreign policy will likely be shaped by continuity and adaptation to new conditions rather than a complete transformation. This adaptation may particularly occur in the fields of diplomacy, economy, and military. For this reason, Iran is seeking new strategies that can effectively respond to international and regional challenges.
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Upcoming Strategic Scenarios
Currently, three strategic scenarios for Iran's foreign policy are proposed. The first scenario is to strengthen relations with countries that have common interests with Iran and can assist Tehran against international pressures. The second scenario involves improving relations with Western powers to reduce sanctions and increase economic cooperation. The third scenario focuses on enhancing the country's military and security capabilities to counter external threats.
Given recent developments in the Middle East and the new challenges Iran faces, these scenarios can serve as a basis for future decision-making by Iranian diplomacy representatives. Ultimately, the success or failure of these scenarios depends on Iran's ability to adapt to new conditions and utilize past experiences.
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