The fuel access situation in different regions of Europe and Africa, especially in November 2026, has encountered challenges. At the ARA bunkering hub in Northwestern Europe, fuel supply for immediate deliveries has become severely limited, and buyers must consider lead times of 5 to 7 days to receive competitive offers.
Fuel Situation at the Port of Rotterdam
At the Port of Rotterdam, the price of B100 has decreased by more than $200 per ton compared to LSMGO, which has increased demand at this Dutch port. Additionally, according to provided data, independent fuel inventories in ARA increased by an average of 2 percent in October compared to September.
Fuel Imports in the ARA Region
In October, the ARA hub imported an average of 174,000 barrels of fuel per day, down from 266,000 barrels per day in September. The highest volumes were imported from the United States (17 percent), France (16 percent), and Syria (13 percent). Meanwhile, independent diesel inventories in this region, which include diesel and heating oil, increased by 5 percent in October compared to September.
In other parts of Europe, the fuel supply situation in Hamburg is reported to be normal, and suppliers have asked buyers to notify them 5 days in advance. In contrast, at the Swedish port of Gothenburg and the Danish port of Skaw, buyers must consider a 10-day lead time for fuel supply.
Fuel Situation in the Mediterranean and Africa
At the ports of the Strait of Gibraltar, fuel supply faces limitations, and buyers must account for lead times of 6 to 7 days for fuel supply. At the Port of Dakar in Senegal, deliveries of VLSFO and LSMGO are possible from November 14. Additionally, in Lomé, Togo, and the Port of Walvis Bay in Namibia, fuel supply is severely limited, and buyers must consider lead times of 5 to 7 days.
In Lagos, Nigeria, VLSFO supply is constrained, and a lead time of about 10 days has been proposed. In Angola, LSMGO supply requires a lead time of 5 to 6 days. Meanwhile, in Durban, South Africa, the VLSFO supply situation has improved.
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